AI in fuel distribution control: Exploring the use cases
Globally, as technology evolves, industries are embracing digital transformation as an essential step forward. Nowhere is this more evident than in the energy sector. Here, advanced technologies, especially artificial intelligence (AI), are transforming operations and spawning innovative methods. With the oil and gas sector’s push for modernization and heightened efficiency, AI has cemented its place as a pivotal tool that not only streamlines processes but also strengthens cybersecurity measures.
The impact of AI in the energy sector is evident from data put forward by Allied Market Research, which highlights the rapid growth and transformative potential of AI technologies. Their findings indicate that the global market size for artificial intelligence in the energy sector was worth $4.0 billion in 2021. It’s expected to surge to $19.8 billion by 2031, with a growth rate of 17.4% from 2022 to 2031.
While the influence of AI has been profound across the entire energy sector, this article will dive deep into one specific area of the energy industry where AI’s substantial yet often overlooked impact has taken root: fuel distribution control. In an era of technological evolution, the integration of AI in fuel distribution domain is reshaping traditional practices and introducing noteworthy advancements.
- Fuel distribution control: An overview
- Fuel extraction and distribution process
- Challenges in fuel distribution control
- Role of AI in fuel distribution control
- Benefits of AI Integration
- AI technologies enabling fuel distribution control
- Real-life examples of AI technologies enabling fuel distribution control
Fuel distribution control: An overview
Fuel distribution control is the administration and supervision of the procedures used to transport different fuels, such as petrol, diesel, and aviation fuel, from production facilities to end-users, which might include consumers, companies, and industries. It includes all actions involved in the extraction, refinement, transportation, storage, and distribution of fuels, as well as its planning, coordination, and optimization. The primary goal is to ensure consistent, efficient, and secure fuel delivery, all while minimizing costs and environmental impact. To achieve these objectives, a range of strategies, technologies, and data analyses are employed, particularly to manage inventory, optimize delivery routes, uphold safety standards, and streamline operations within the fuel distribution network.
Fuel extraction and distribution process
The fuel extraction and distribution process involves a series of interconnected steps that transform raw materials into refined fuels and deliver them to end-users. Here’s an overview of the typical fuel extraction and distribution process:
Exploration and extraction
Fuel exploration starts with geological surveys to identify potential oil and gas reserves. Geologists analyze rock formations and other geological features to locate areas where hydrocarbons might be trapped. They also use seismic imaging, sending seismic waves into the ground to create underground images that reveal possible reservoirs. Exploratory wells are then drilled to confirm the presence of hydrocarbons. These wells can be deep and use complex techniques.
Drilling yields core samples that show what’s in the reservoir—type, quality, and amount of hydrocarbons. Tests measure oil and gas flow from the reservoir, giving insight into its productivity. After identifying reserves, primary, secondary and enhanced recovery techniques are used to extract the maximum amount of oil and gas from the reservoir. The primary technique uses natural pressure to bring oil and gas to the surface. As pressure drops, secondary techniques step in, including injecting water, gases, or chemicals. Next, enhanced oil recovery (EOR) techniques are implemented to boost extraction efficiency further. EOR methods focus on altering the properties of the oil or reservoir to make extraction more feasible.
Extracted crude oil often contains impurities, so it is transported to refineries for further processing.
Refining
During the refining stage, unprocessed crude oil undergoes a sequence of intricate transformations within refineries, resulting in the generation of a diverse range of valuable products. The process is orchestrated through two key techniques: distillation and conversion.
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Distillation stands as the primary method that takes advantage of the different boiling points of various components present in crude oil to separate each. This temperature-driven separation allows the crude oil to be fractionated into multiple components, each with its own distinct characteristics and applications. This fractionation enables the isolation of diverse mixtures, including petrol, diesel, heavy fuel oil and liquefied petroleum gases that serve as the building blocks for different refined products.
Moreover, conversion processes play a complementary role by reconfiguring the molecular structure of the hydrocarbons present in crude oil. Through techniques like cracking and reforming, heavier and less useful hydrocarbons are transformed into lighter, more desirable fractions. This is akin to a sophisticated molecular restructuring, producing high-demand products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.
Storage and distribution
Following the refining process, refined fuels are securely stored in sizeable tanks located within refineries or dedicated storage facilities. These storage tanks serve as reservoirs, effectively stabilizing fuel availability by accommodating surplus production to meet varying demand levels.
Subsequently, a well-organized system for distributing the refined fuels takes over. The fuels that are stored in these tanks start their journey toward their intended destinations. This process involves the methodical movement of fuels from storage facilities to specific points for distribution. These points include fuel terminals, depots, and storage sites. These distribution points are important hubs that efficiently help the fuels reach diverse markets, including gas stations, industries, and end-users. The process of storing and distributing is carefully coordinated to ensure that energy resources are reliably provided to consumers.
Transportation
Transportation ensures that refined fuels reach their intended destinations efficiently and reliably. As a widely adopted method, pipelines serve as channels for the long-distance transportation of fuels. They connect refineries, distribution points, and high-demand regions, offering a cost-effective and streamlined approach to moving substantial fuel quantities.
On an international scale, ships serve as essential vessels for transporting both crude oil and refined fuels across oceans. These large tankers facilitate the global movement of energy resources, contributing to the interconnected nature of the fuel industry. Additionally, within local contexts, railroads and tanker trucks come into play. These vehicles are responsible for the transport of fuels from distribution points to local markets, encompassing gas stations and industrial facilities. Collectively, these transportation methods contribute to the reliable and consistent supply of fuels to meet the diverse energy needs of consumers.
Fuel terminals and depots
Fuel terminals and depots are vital components of the fuel distribution network, facilitating the efficient movement of fuels from production centers to end-users. Fuel terminals operate as centralized hubs where refined fuels are received from refineries. These terminals play a pivotal role by providing storage, blending, and distribution services. Here, fuels are temporarily stored and blended to meet specific quality standards if needed. Subsequently, these terminals ensure the onward distribution of fuels to smaller delivery points, contributing to a reliable supply chain.
In parallel, depots act as smaller storage places that are set up in specific areas to serve particular markets. These depots are closer to the people who use the fuels. They get fuel deliveries from bigger terminals and keep them safe until they’re needed in the local area. By strategically placing depots in important markets, the fuel industry ensures that energy resources can be accessed quickly and easily, making the distribution process more effective. In this interconnected network, both fuel terminals and depots work together to make sure fuels flow smoothly, addressing the varied energy requirements of consumers.
Retail and end users
The final stages of the fuel distribution process involve delivering refined fuels to end-users across various sectors. Gas stations, the most recognizable among these, receive gasoline and diesel for consumer vehicles. These stations usually maintain underground storage tanks that are periodically replenished by tanker trucks. This ensures that consumers have convenient vehicle fuel access while maintaining a consistent supply.
Beyond individual vehicle owners, the fuel distribution network extends its reach to cater to industrial and commercial users. This includes a diverse range of consumers, such as industrial facilities, power plants, airlines, and shipping companies. These entities rely on refined fuels for a multitude of applications, spanning power generation, transportation, and various industrial processes. By providing tailored fuel supplies to these users, the distribution process supports the energy needs of multiple sectors, underpinning their operations and contributing to economic activities on both local and global scales.
Challenges in fuel distribution control
Navigating the fuel distribution landscape presents a set of intricate challenges that demand effective control and management. These challenges include:
- Demand variability: The ever-changing demand for fuels, influenced by factors such as seasons, economic conditions, and geopolitical events, poses a significant challenge. Accurate forecasting of demand is essential to prevent shortages or oversupply.
- Supply chain complexity: The multifaceted nature of the fuel supply chain, involving extraction, refining, transportation, and storage, necessitates meticulous coordination. Managing this complexity while ensuring uninterrupted supply is a constant challenge.
- Logistical efficiency: Distributing fuels across vast geographical areas demands efficient logistical operations. Optimizing routes, scheduling deliveries, and managing inventory are ongoing challenges impacting cost-effectiveness and customer satisfaction.
- Safety and compliance: The flammable nature of fuels underscores the importance of stringent safety protocols. Adhering to safety standards, preventing accidents, and minimizing environmental impact present constant challenges.
- Infrastructure maintenance: Ensuring the proper functioning and maintenance of storage tanks, pipelines, and distribution equipment is essential. Regular maintenance and upgrades are necessary to prevent disruptions and safety hazards.
- Market segmentation: Meeting the diverse requirements of different market segments, from individual consumers to industrial users, demands adaptable distribution strategies that cater to varied fuel needs.
- Supply disruptions: Geopolitical events, natural disasters, and accidents can disrupt fuel supply chains. Establishing contingency plans to mitigate such disruptions is a persistent challenge.
- Sustainability pressures: The growing emphasis on environmental sustainability pushes the industry to explore cleaner fuels and greener distribution practices, requiring innovative solutions to balance environmental concerns with energy demands.
- Price volatility: Fluctuations in global oil prices, influenced by production decisions, geopolitical events, and market speculation, can introduce unpredictability into the fuel distribution process. This affects both profit margins and pricing strategies.
- Regulatory challenges: Various countries have different regulatory environments that impact fuel distribution. Adapting to and staying compliant with these changing regulations and standards across multiple regions can be a significant challenge.
- Technological integration: As the sector evolves, integrating newer technologies and digital tools (like IoT devices, AI, or blockchain) into legacy systems presents both opportunity and challenge. This is necessary for real-time monitoring, predictive maintenance, and streamlining operations.
- Security threats: With increasing digitization, the risk of cyber threats and attacks on the fuel distribution network grows. Safeguarding data and ensuring the cybersecurity of systems become paramount.
- Public perception and brand reputation: In an era where consumers are becoming increasingly environmentally conscious, managing public perception and ensuring brand reputation while delivering fossil fuels can be a challenging task
Effectively addressing these challenges necessitates the utilization of advanced technologies, data-driven decision-making, strategic planning, and robust risk management. By proactively managing these complexities, stakeholders within the fuel distribution industry can ensure the reliable and efficient delivery of energy resources to meet the needs of diverse markets and consumers.
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Role of AI in fuel distribution control
Artificial Intelligence plays a significant and diverse role in fuel distribution control, altering how the entire process is handled. In the petroleum distribution network, AI delivers state-of-the-art capabilities to optimize operations, boost efficiency, and reduce hazards. Here are some crucial AI applications in the oil industry, especially in the distribution process:
Demand forecasting
Incorporating AI-powered demand forecasting models into fuel distribution networks leverages sophisticated machine learning techniques to predict fuel requirements more accurately. These models use Deep Learning architectures, like Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) or Long Short-term Memory networks (LSTMs), to process vast datasets spanning multiple years. These algorithms factor in a myriad of variables including, but not limited to:
- Historical sales and consumption data.
- Time series trends and seasonality patterns.
- Macroeconomic indicators like GDP growth rates, inflation rates, and oil price fluctuations.
- Environmental data include temperature variances, precipitation levels, and extreme weather events.
- Geopolitical events and legislative changes that may impact fuel consumption or production.
Once trained, these AI models can extrapolate from this multidimensional data, producing forecasts with granular precision—sometimes down to daily or even hourly demand predictions for specific regions or distribution points.
The actionable insights derived from these advanced forecasting models empower fuel distributors to fine-tune their inventory management. They can preemptively scale up or scale down their stock levels in anticipation of predicted demand surges or slumps. By dynamically aligning stock with predicted demand, distributors can guard against costly overstock situations and protect markets from potential supply shortages. This precise alignment ensures that operational costs are kept in check and supply chains are resilient and responsive to ever-evolving consumption patterns.
Inventory management
The application of AI for inventory management enhances transparency and reliability in fuel distribution control. AI can analyze the historical data of past inventory levels, fuel demands, market trends, and external factors to predict optimal stock levels. By leveraging AI and machine learning algorithms, inventory management in the fuel distribution sector is evolving into a more predictive and precise discipline. Sophisticated models, often based on Neural Networks and Time Series Analysis, ingest vast amounts of multi-dimensional data.
The predictive capabilities of AI come in handy in preventing the risks of both stockouts and excess supply. This technology-driven approach streamlines operations and ensures a steady and uninterrupted fuel supply, aligning resources with actual consumption patterns. This way, industries, homes, and vehicles can rely on a continuous flow of energy without any interruptions.
Ultimately, AI empowers fuel distributors to make informed decisions, optimize resources, and deliver a seamless energy supply to consumers and industries alike.
Route optimization
AI brings a smart approach to planning delivery routes. It uses real-time information to help trucks find the best paths, avoid traffic and use less fuel. This also includes predicting where traffic might get heavy so trucks can take a different route and save time and fuel.
AI’s ability to make deliveries more efficient doesn’t stop there. It knows about the type of vehicle and the roads, so it suggests routes that save fuel by not making unnecessary stops. It helps the fuel distributors in finding the quickest way to the destination. When there are many stops to make, AI makes sure they’re in the right order to save time and fuel. Even if something unexpected happens, AI quickly changes the route to keep things efficient and not waste fuel.
AI learns from past information and works with other trucks to improve delivery routes over time. It considers high fuel demand in certain seasons and areas with high traffic. This getting-better process is helped by AI using GPS and sensors inside the trucks. It tells drivers right away about the best choices for routes and using fuel smartly. Incorporating AI in fuel distribution control results in streamlined route optimization, reduced operational costs, minimized fuel consumption, and a more sustainable distribution network.
Real-time monitoring
AI’s role in real-time monitoring for fuel distribution control offers a range of impactful applications. It excels in detecting anomalies in fuel storage conditions and swiftly identifying potential leaks, theft, or equipment malfunctions. Predictive maintenance ensures timely upkeep of equipment, while early leak detection prevents environmental harm. AI strengthens security measures through unauthorized access detection and maintains fuel quality standards in real-time. It optimizes inventory levels, enhancing supply consistency and avoiding unnecessary storage costs. AI’s remote monitoring capabilities enable centralized oversight, and its data-driven insights improve operational efficiency and emergency response planning.
By collaborating with IoT devices, AI provides comprehensive monitoring and control, ultimately enhancing the fuel distribution network’s risk management, security, and operational efficiency.
Market analysis
AI’s incorporation into market analysis for fuel distribution control yields several impactful applications. It excels in predicting fuel prices by analyzing historical trends and external influences, aiding distributors in making informed procurement and distribution decisions. Additionally, AI predicts shifts in fuel demand by considering economic indicators and consumer behavior, ensuring adaptable distribution plans that cater to evolving consumer needs.
AI monitors competitor activities and market share, enabling distributors to fine-tune strategies for competitiveness. It optimizes supply chains, tracks regulatory compliance, and offers insights into consumer preferences. By analyzing geopolitical events and economic indicators, AI assesses potential risks and supports efficient market segmentation. The technology’s trend analysis and scenario planning capabilities provide a strategic edge for future distribution planning.
By integrating AI into market analysis, fuel distribution control gains a proactive edge, facilitating swift adaptation to market changes, precise targeting of consumer groups, and data-driven decision-making for optimized distribution strategies.
Supply chain optimization
AI excels in aligning fuel supply with demand through historical data and trend analysis, preventing imbalances in inventory. It optimizes inventory levels by tracking consumption patterns, maintaining storage efficiency, and minimizing excess stock. It also predicts demand shifts, streamlining production schedules and minimizing costs. AI enhances delivery efficiency while meeting commitments by optimizing delivery routes and considering variables like traffic and weather. It evaluates supplier performance, manages risks, and ensures fleet health. AI allocates resources judiciously, orchestrates just-in-time deliveries, and fosters collaborative planning among stakeholders. The result is an enhanced distribution process marked by efficiency, cost savings, and seamless fuel flow.
By integrating AI into supply chain optimization, fuel distribution control attains precision in matching supply to demand, minimizes storage and operational costs, and orchestrates a harmonized journey of fuel from production to consumers.
Optimized procurement
AI’s integration into optimized procurement for fuel distribution control yields a range of impactful applications. It excels in predicting fuel price trends through historical data and market analysis, enabling distributors to make informed purchasing decisions. It assists in selecting reliable suppliers based on performance metrics and pricing. AI accurately forecasts fuel demand by analyzing diverse data sources, preventing supply shortages and excess inventory. Its insights help time fuel purchases strategically, optimizing costs amidst price volatility. AI informs contract negotiations, determining favorable terms through historical insights and market trends.
Moreover, AI determines optimal procurement quantities by considering consumption patterns, storage capacity, and market trends. It evaluates supply chain risks, suggesting contingency measures for uninterrupted procurement. AI drives cost-effective strategies, balancing quality and price while identifying opportunities for savings. It ensures compliance with regulations and ethical standards while fostering productive supplier relationships through performance analysis. In all, AI elevates procurement practices within fuel distribution control, resulting in cost efficiency, risk management, and well-informed strategic decisions.
Safety enhancement
In fuel distribution, advanced AI technologies play a pivotal role in safety enhancement. Predictive analytics, sourced from IoT sensors, forecast equipment failures, enabling timely maintenance to avert issues. Deep Learning models integrated into sensors monitor tanks and pipelines for inconsistencies, such as leaks, promptly signaling operators for intervention.
Using neural networks, operations are audited to ensure strict adherence to safety standards, minimizing potential accidents or environmental harm. AI can also simulate emergency scenarios, providing data-driven recommendations for incident management.
Additionally, AI-driven cameras, equipped with Convolutional Neural Networks, instantly detect threats like fires or gas leaks, while Augmented Reality and Virtual Reality modules offer immersive safety training for employees. This multifaceted AI approach ensures a safer, more responsive fuel distribution system.
Energy theft detection and fraud prevention
In fuel distribution, unauthorized siphoning and theft of fuel have historically been challenges that operators grapple with. AI can play a transformative role in detecting and preventing such illicit activities. By deploying machine learning models, anomalies in fuel distribution can be detected. These models, trained on vast datasets, can identify patterns consistent with theft or siphoning, such as unexpected drops in fuel levels or inconsistent flow rates.
Additionally, AI can aid in the verification process of transactions. With predictive models, AI can anticipate typical purchase volumes for certain customers or regions. Any drastic divergence from these predicted volumes can be flagged for further inspection, potentially identifying fraudulent activities.
Furthermore, AI systems can work along with IoT devices to monitor and record real-time data on fuel movement, storage, and consumption. Any unusual activities or inconsistencies can trigger instant notifications to central systems. The ability to provide near real-time alerts means that operators can swiftly address potential theft or fraud, drastically reducing losses.
By incorporating AI in energy theft detection and fraud prevention, fuel distribution networks can safeguard their resources, ensuring that fuel is accurately tracked, accounted for, and delivered to legitimate end-users. This not only enhances profitability but also bolsters trust in the distribution system.
Benefits of AI integration
The integration of AI into fuel distribution control offers a multitude of benefits:
- Enhanced efficiency: AI optimizes various aspects of the distribution process, from route planning to inventory management, resulting in streamlined operations and reduced operational costs.
- Accurate decision-making: AI analyzes vast amounts of data and provides actionable insights, enabling informed and data-driven decision-making for improved outcomes.
- Cost savings: AI’s optimization capabilities lead to reduced fuel consumption, efficient resource allocation, and minimized operational inefficiencies, translating to substantial cost savings.
- Risk mitigation: AI identifies potential risks, such as leaks or supply chain disruptions, enabling proactive measures to prevent accidents and environmental harm.
- Real-time monitoring: AI-powered sensors provide real-time data on fuel storage conditions, facilitating prompt detection of anomalies and rapid response to prevent issues from escalating.
- Environmental sustainability: AI aids in reducing fuel wastage, optimizing routes, and minimizing emissions, contributing to more sustainable and eco-friendly fuel distribution practices.
- Improved safety: AI enhances safety through predictive maintenance, leak detection, emergency response planning, and monitoring of driver behavior, reducing accidents and hazards.
- Enhanced customer satisfaction: AI ensures timely deliveries, reduces stockouts, and enhances service quality, leading to improved customer satisfaction and loyalty.
- Data-driven insights: AI generates valuable insights from data, facilitating continuous process improvement, better resource utilization, and the identification of growth opportunities.
- Regulatory compliance: AI ensures adherence to industry regulations, safety standards, and environmental guidelines, reducing compliance-related risks.
- Strategic advantage: Organizations leveraging AI gain a competitive edge by efficiently adapting to market changes, optimizing operations, and responding proactively to challenges.
Incorporating AI into fuel distribution control results in a more efficient, cost-effective, safe, and environmentally conscious distribution process while providing organizations with the tools to navigate a rapidly evolving industry landscape.
AI technologies enabling fuel distribution control
Machine Learning (ML)
Machine learning algorithms are the driving force behind the analysis of historical data. These algorithms carefully examine historical trends and patterns, allowing them to predict future demand accurately. ML algorithms optimize inventory levels by identifying these trends, avoiding both overstocking and shortages. Their forecasts get more accurate as they keep learning and adjusting to new circumstances, which eventually improves operational effectiveness.
Natural Language Processing (NLP)
Artificial intelligence (AI) systems can comprehend, interpret, and analyze human language thanks to natural language processing. NLP analyses textual information such as reports, news stories, and market trends in the context of fuel distribution control. AI can make procurement decisions, spot possible supply chain delays and assess external variables that affect fuel pricing by extracting information from these sources. This skill improves decision-making accuracy and helps keep pace with market changes.
Computer Vision
Computer vision, a subset of AI, empowers systems to interpret visual data from cameras and sensors. This technology is vital for real-time anomaly identification in fuel distribution control. It allows for spotting leaks, anomalies, and safety violations, which helps with early intervention and preventative actions. Computer vision creates a safer working environment and reduces the dangers connected with fuel handling by increasing safety standards through quick notifications.
Robotics
Robots powered by AI are useful tools for managing gasoline delivery. These robots are equipped to do a variety of jobs, such as inventory management, maintenance, and inspection. Particularly in risky circumstances, their participation simplifies operations and lowers the need for human intervention. The operational efficiency of fuel distribution is greatly increased by assigning duties to AI-powered robots. Additionally, these robots mitigate human risks, making operations safer and more reliable.
Deep Learning
Deep learning, a kind of machine learning, uses neural networks that resemble the networked neurons in the human brain. Deep learning improves prediction powers in fuel distribution control by enabling AI to identify complex patterns inside huge datasets. This technology is especially useful for route optimization, demand forecasting, and supply chain management, all of which improve the efficiency of fuel distribution.
Real-life examples of AI technologies enabling fuel distribution control
Shell
Traditionally, Shell’s equipment maintenance relied on fixed schedules or reacting to failures, resulting in inefficiencies and downtime. Physics-based models fell short of reliability needs, prompting the adoption of machine learning and AI. To enhance reliability, Shell employed AI for predictive maintenance for early control valve issue detection. Machine learning models were developed to analyze asset data and spot anomalies, triggering alerts for proactive maintenance. Successful implementations include modeling and monitoring control valves at a Dutch refinery with 65 alerts for repairs, predictive maintenance in a Singapore refinery improving valve behavior, and anomaly detection on the Gulf of Mexico platform, enabling early maintenance planning and uninterrupted production.
Phillips 66 and demand forecasting
Phillips 66, an energy company, integrates AI for demand forecasting in its fuel distribution network. AI algorithms process historical consumption data, market trends, and external factors to predict future fuel demand accurately. This ensures that the company maintains optimal inventory levels, preventing fuel shortages and excess inventory costs.
Aramco and AI integration
Aramco, a leading energy and chemical company, has extensively integrated artificial intelligence (AI) into its operations to enhance efficiency and effectiveness. Aramco uses AI solutions to optimize its core businesses, including hydrocarbon production. The company employs AI and machine learning to process real time data related to hydrocarbon discovery, recovery, and production efficiency. AI-powered platforms detect drilling anomalies in real time, enabling crews to prevent equipment damage. GeoDRIVE, an AI solution, aids geoscientists in creating high-resolution earth models to enhance hydrocarbon recovery. Aramco has also harnessed AI for predictive and prescriptive analytics, leading to fuel gas optimization and reduction in carbon emissions. The company’s comprehensive AI strategy spans various aspects of its operations, driving efficiency, sustainability, and innovation.
Endnote
It is self-evident from the insights explored in this article that the impact of AI in fuel distribution domain resonates deeply within the energy sector. The profound influence of AI on optimizing fuel distribution processes underscores the critical role technology plays in shaping the efficiency, sustainability, and resilience of energy supply chains. From predictive maintenance to real-time anomaly detection and improved decision-making, AI technologies are playing an integral role in ensuring the seamless and secure flow of energy resources. With the integration of diverse AI technologies like ML, deep learning, computer vision, NLP and more, the fuel distribution landscape is undergoing a remarkable transformation that enhances operational efficiency and contributes to minimizing environmental impact.
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